Testing Vortex Plasma Theory

One of the predictions of Vortex Plasma Theory (link) is that periods of extreme tornadic instability will be preceded by periods of extreme atmospheric stability–calmness–3 to 5 days prior.  This directly relates to the assertion that periods of calmness allow for the formation of long, flat boundary layers in the lower atmosphere (commonly called inversion layers) and that these inversion layers are implicated in providing a pathway for vortex growth to the lower atmosphere, thus producing tornadoes.  (For a more explicit understanding of what is meant in the two sentences that precede this sentence I suggest that you stop reading this here and instead read this [link].) This does, I assert, provide us a means of testing Vortex Plasma Theory through historical statistics.  Accordingly, if the historical record indicates significant periods of atmospheric calmness (3 to 5 days prior), especially at locations near the gulf, then the null hypothesis that tornadoes are a result of long, flat, smooth boundary layers in the lower atmosphere will have failed to be disputed/refuted.

Assumptions:

1) Tornadoes are the result of vortex plasma growth in the lower atmosphere (lower troposphere).  (Note: If the phrase “vortex plasma growth” doesn’t make sense to you then stop here and read this link.  Only return to this post AFTER  it is 100% clear to you what is an H2O based plasma [vortex plasma] and what are the factors [see below] that cause it to emerge.)

2) The energy to facilitate vortex plasma growth in the lower atmosphere originates in the upper troposphere, specifically in jet streams, which themselves are structurally comprised of vortex plasma.  (Note: vortex plasma facilitates the conservation of energy that, essentially, allows jet streams [and tornadoes, indirectly] to achieve high wind speeds.  For more details on conservation of energy and how this is facilitated by vortex plasma see this link.)

3) Starting from jet streams, vortex growth down to the lower atmosphere is itself dependent on a pathway of vortex plasma from the upper troposphere to supply the energy to achieve vortex growth in the lower atmosphere. (This too can be better understood by studying the link above.)

4) In addition to energy, as discussed above, vortex plasma growth in the lower atmosphere (tornadoes) requires high quality differentness.  (Note: If the phrase “high quality differentness” doesn’t make sense to you then stop here and read this link.  Only return to this post AFTER  it is 100% clear to you what is high quality differentness and what are the factors [see below] that cause it to emerge.)

5) High quality differentness (a distinct boundary layer between moist air and dry air) forms during periods of atmospheric calmness.  High quality differentness forms at two locations in Earth’s atmosphere, at the boundary between the troposphere and the stratosphere (where jet streams form) and at locations in the lower troposphere  (where tornadoes form) where moist air tends to settle below dry air.  These locations in the lower troposphere are commonly referred to as inversion layers and they can be as high as a thousand meters.

Procedures:

Examine historical records of tornado outbreaks (clusters) and backtrack 3 to 5 days prior (or, maybe, 2 to 7 days) see if periods of extreme atmospheric calmness can be detected.

Analysis/Discussion:

Are historical record of tornado outbreaks coorelated with extreme periods of atmospheric calmness 3 to 5 days prior (or, possibly, 2 to 7 days prior)? If the answer is yes then that would mean that Vortex Plasma Theory would fail to be disputed/refuted by this test/experiment, making it a stronger theory. If coorelation is not found then that would suggest that Vortex Plasma Theory is mistaken, invalid.

Jim McGinn

Never trust a meteorologist with science, they are out of their element.

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